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Posted 20 hours ago

Directional Trading on Horse Racing: Red Pill Trading

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While a lot of traders say that they make money from using technical analysis, academic examination frequently suggests that it has minimal predictive power [Browning, E.S. (July 31, 2007). “Reading market tea leaves”. The Wall Street Journal Europe. Dow Jones. pp. 17–18]. But the only thing you need to look for is the “1” next to it’s name. That is the first variable. The second variable is that the horse must be in the favourite range. I never used this method. I dutched all my bets, wherever possible. From the start, I saw the flexibility in using this method. Example You will learn how to think for yourself. The reference hands are carefully chosen and presented in a systematic way. You can just use them as reference hands. However, once you learn how I analyse hands, you can analyse hands for yourself. Once you can do this, you won’t need a teacher as you can teach yourself. You have to understand the difference between an internet marketer and a teacher. A teacher has passion for his subject and hates to see it corrupted. A teacher wants to teach his or her subject and has no bias as to whether something is true or not. An internet marketer wants to sell something and the education that this person provides may be biased. Their so-called education is often designed to groom people’s belief systems towards buying their product.

To plan your hand from beginning to end. I don’t just explain what you should do pre-flop or on the flop and leave players stranded without an idea of how to play the hand on the turn or river. When you plan a hand off the table, there should be no surprises where you don’t know what to do. Figure 5 shows that these race variables are conveniently organised on the Inform Racing race cards. Bookmakers may have stable connections and be in-the-know themselves. If they have a hot tip from a stable, they might want to take bets for all of the horses apart from the tipped horse. Therefore, the late money could be bookmakers dumping their liability on the tipped horse at the exchanges.As a punter, if a horse has not raced or has always performed poorly on the on the going, I would not consider betting on it. Therefore, it is of more value to me, for a speed rating to reflect the horse’s best performance on the going. I saw a video, where a technical analyst used pieces of a jigsaw as an analogy for sports trading. The idea is that you can see the picture or guess what the picture will be, even with pieces of the jigsaw missing. It may not be about the missing piece of the jigsaw. It may be about choosing the right jigsaw. To develop hand reading skills. The idea is that you will understand ranges. Once you put your opponent on a range, you can figure out how often your opponent will fold to a bet.

Once you find the solution, you won't buy anymore stuff from the gurus" - is he referring to your mugs, Peter? This gives us an adjusted TS rating of 78, which the speed rating shown on the race card (Figure 1) If you can find good odds at a bookmaker, you can avoid paying commission on at least part of your bet. Releasing Free Bets If he looked below the surface he'd find proof everywhere, it's in the results of (sports) traders, but he apparently can't even get over the first hurdle and identify the top performers in this field. How many top performers care about stats and think that's the only way forward? From what I've seen, in general traders either look for volatility or value, and maybe speed advantage.I teach you how I read hands and how you can improve your skills at finding the best betting lines. These 2 skills will help you maximise your profits The amount of information one can absorb obviously depends whether a person is a fast learner or not, but I agree that it generally takes a bit of time for all the dust to settle so that dots can be properly connected and core foundations built. From experience, the mindset itself is vitally important here as well, a more humble and open mind is able to receive and absorb new information and thus learn an enormous amount from others if it wants to. If he's saying that his way (stats/form?) is the only way, that says a lot about his mindset and his willingness to learn.

On the forums, they think they get gubbed because the bookmakers know they found a close match on the odds. They think that because that’s all they know about horse racing. In-the-know punters believe that they are getting value and are willing to wager substantial money. They also understand the dynamics of the market. They understand how fluctuations in the price of one company or commodity affects the price of another company or commodity. What are the Equivalents in Sports Trading?Speed is one of the most important factors for determining a horse’s chance of winning a race. Whether you are a punter or a trader, you should be interested in a horse’s winning chances. It is obvious that punters and in-play traders need to be aware of a horse’s winning chances. I’m not saying that technical analysis does or doesn’t work in the financial markets. I’m saying that the jury seems to be out on this.

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