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The Art of Thinking Clearly: Better Thinking, Better Decisions: The Secrets of Perfect Decision-Making

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These are examples of cognitive biases, simple errors we all make in our day-to-day thinking. But by knowing what they are and how to spot them, we can avoid them and make better choices-whether dealing with a personal problem or a business negotiation; trying to save money or make money; working out what we do or don't want in life: and how best to get it. Do you feel that you have a pretty realistic grasp of your abilities? That, while others might delude themselves into overestimating their abilities, you don’t? If so, you aren’t alone: we all tend to view ourselves through rose-tinted glasses. I’d built myself a decent-sized reading list just from books I’d seen or heard mentioned elsewhere, and eventually took it to the largest English language bookshop in Shanghai.

When it comes to pattern recognition, we are oversensitive. Regain your scepticism. If you think you have discovered a pattern, first consider it pure chance. If it seems too good to be true, find a mathematician and have the data tested statistically. Fighting Against Confirmation Bias PDF / EPUB File Name: The_Art_of_Thinking_Clearly_-_Rolf_Dobelli.pdf, The_Art_of_Thinking_Clearly_-_Rolf_Dobelli.epub If something strange was happening right in front of you, like a gorilla running around, you’d notice, right? In fact, you probably wouldn’t if you were focusing on something else. Calamity of Conformity - If you ever find yourself in a tight unanimous group, you must speak your mind, even if your team does not like it, even if it means risking expulsion from the warm nest.Whether you’re into self-improvement or not, we could all do with making fewer bad decisions and more good ones. Unfortunately, they didn’t have much from my list, but they did have The Art of Thinking Clearly (which wasn’t on my list).

Access-restricted-item true Addeddate 2021-10-23 19:15:11 Boxid IA40271710 Camera Sony Alpha-A6300 (Control) Collection_set printdisabled External-identifierA simple experiment, carried out in the 1950s by legendary psychologist Solomon Asch, shows how peer pressure can warp common sense. A subject is shown a line drawn on paper, and next to it three lines—numbered 1, 2, and 3—one shorter, one longer, and one the same length as the original one. He or she must indicate which of the three lines corresponds to the original one. If the person is alone in the room, he gives correct answers because the task is really quite simple. Now five other people enter the room; they are all actors, which the subject does not know. One after another, they give wrong answers, saying “number 1,” although it’s very clear that number 3 is the correct answer. Then it is the subject’s turn again. In one-third of cases, he will answer incorrectly to match the other people’s responses Rational Decision Making and The Sunk Cost Fallacy Whenever you are dealing with averages, be careful of the distribution behind it. A Bill Gates monthly income in a group of 50 ordinary citizens can give an extremely misleading average.

Here are 4 examples of that, each with a statement and an explanation. They may not be original revelations for everybody but that’s not the point.Rolf Dobelli has done it again! Not only does he open our eyes, now he wakes us up. Because of his rigorous scientific analysis combined with his shattering philosophical approach, he is never satisfied with the superficial. So, grab Rolf’s book and don’t let it go!” A key fundamental to our very existence today, like it has been for ages, thinking, is an art as much as anything else. An art to hone. But that’s easier said than done. The Art of Thinking is a book that aims to help you in that respect. It is a book that will have different takeaways for each of us. Because each of us think differently. Even when we think erroneously, we do it differently. But it is a book you need to read, and take away only what you need. It does as good a job as a holistic book as it does as a go-to guide whenever you need. People simply link any problem to their field. As the author writes, “Surgeons want to solve almost every medical problem with a scalpel, even if their patients could be treated with less invasive methods.” Whether we like it or not, we are puppets of our emotions. We make complex decisions by consulting our feelings, not our thoughts. Against our best intentions, we substitute the question, “What do I think about this?” with “How do I feel about this?” So, smile! Your future depends on it.” Rolf Dobelli Omission bias. Most people believe that you are less "culpable" if you allow something bad to happen due to inaction rather than action. For example, shooting someone is seen as worse than letting someone die. Building no new products and going out of business because the market changed is seen as less bad than trying to build a new product and failing.

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