Tacwise 0335 Type 53 / 8 mm Galvanised Staples, Pack of 2000

Product Information

Silver, Nate (March 28, 2011). "In Tournament of Upsets, V.C.U. Has Overcome Longest Odds". FiveThirtyEight. Archived from the original on May 29, 2011. And after threescore and two weeks shall Messiah be cut off, but not for himself: and the people of the prince that shall come shall destroy the city and the sanctuary; and the end thereof shall be with a flood, and unto the end of the war desolations are determined. When Silver leaves ABC News, he’ll leave behind the FiveThirtyEight trade name, but his models will go with him. “The models are licensed to them and the license term is concurrent with my contract,” he confirmed to Nieman Lab in a message. “They have limited rights to some models post–license term, but not the core election forecast stuff.” By oppression and judgment He was taken away; And as for His generation, who considered That He was cut off out of the land of the living, That for the transgression of my people, striking was due to Him? Rothschild, David (2009). "Forecasting Elections: Comparing Prediction Markets, Polls, and Their Biases". Public Opinion Quarterly. 73 (5): 895–916. doi: 10.1093/poq/nfp082.

Appointed Senators Rarely Win Re-Election". FiveThirtyEight. Archived from the original on December 16, 2008 . Retrieved January 9, 2009. The forecast favored the actual winner of 48 states, the District of Columbia, and four of the five congressional districts awarding electoral votes, only missing Florida, North Carolina, and Maine's 2nd congressional district. In those three contests the forecast had favored Biden, but they were carried by Trump. Despite correctly forecasting Biden to win nationally, they overestimated Biden's margins in some battleground states such as Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania and underestimated Trump's margins in states such as Ohio, Iowa and Texas. Their forecast showed Democrats winning Senate races in North Carolina and Maine, which Republicans ended up winning. However, their forecast did correctly predict that the Democrats would take control of the Senate. In the House elections, their forecast favored Democrats to gain seats, yet Democrats suffered a net loss of 10 seats. The actual house results fell outside their 80% confidence interval, with Democrats winning 222 seats, lower than the confidence interval's lower bound of 225. [79] 2023 cost-cutting [ edit ] Romano, Andrew (June 16, 2008). "Where We Were on June 16, 2004--and What It Means for Nov. 4, 2008". Stumper. Newsweek. Archived from the original on June 17, 2008 . Retrieved June 19, 2008. Nate Silver joins ESPN in multifaceted role". ESPN.com. July 22, 2013. Archived from the original on July 25, 2013. Silver, Nate (May 31, 2011). "As Mets' Image Slumps, So Does Attendance". FiveThirtyEight. Archived from the original on June 4, 2011.How We're Forecasting The Primaries". January 12, 2016. Archived from the original on July 17, 2016. Wolfinger’s formulation makes sense: Data does not have a virgin birth. It comes to us from somewhere. Someone set up a procedure to collect and record it. Sometimes this person is a scientist, but she also could be a journalist. Quinn, Sean (October 3, 2008). "On the Road: St. Louis County, Missouri". FiveThirtyEight. Archived from the original on December 7, 2008.

Certainly we had a good night. But this was and remains a tremendously overrated accomplishment. Other forecasters, using broadly similar methods, performed just as well or nearly as well, correctly predicting the outcome in 48 or 49 or 50 states. It wasn’t all that hard to figure out that President Obama, ahead in the overwhelming majority of nonpartisan polls in states such as Ohio, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Iowa and Wisconsin, was the favorite to win them, and was therefore the favorite to win the Electoral College. Daddy, Where Do Senators Come From?". FiveThirtyEight. January 9, 2009. Archived from the original on February 7, 2016.Counter-intuitively, old media is doing better at this than the startups: The Upshot has released the code driving its forecasting model, as well as the data on its launch inequality article. And the Guardian has at least tried to release the raw data behind its data-driven journalism since our Datablog launched five years ago. ... and that's still a lot of white guys Silver received bids from several major media entities before selecting the Times. [32] [33] Under terms of the agreement, Silver would also write monthly articles for the print version of both the newspaper and the Sunday magazine. [538 41] Silver did not move his blog to the highest bidder, because he was concerned with maintaining his own voice while gaining the exposure and technical support that a larger media company could provide. "There's a bit of a Groucho Marx quality to it [Silver has said].... You shouldn't want to belong to any media brand that seems desperate to have you as a member, even though they'll probably offer the most cash". [34] By oppression and judgment He was taken away; And as for His generation, who considered That He was cut off out of the land of the living, For the transgression of my people to whom the stroke was due? Journalism is dominated by white men (like me), and data journalism is no better than the rest of the profession. This has been already been discussed at length, but there's an issue of quality as well as fairness: data journalism is driven by generating and testing hypoetheses. Silver, Nate (August 12, 2020). "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Archived from the original on August 14, 2020 . Retrieved November 13, 2020.