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Countries around the world are balancing the need to respond to cost of living pressures against the need to ensure fiscal sustainability. Several countries have reaffirmed their commitments to medium-term fiscal sustainability. In Europe, Germany plans to reimpose their “debt brake” in 2023, [footnote 11] which would limit government borrowing, while France has set out commitments to get debt falling over the medium term. [footnote 12] The European Commission is consulting on changes to the Stability and Growth Pact, proposing to reintroduce the debt and deficit rules that have been suspended since the COVID-19 pandemic, while allowing member states more time to meet them. [footnote 13] Elsewhere, Canada [footnote 14] and Australia [footnote 15] have reiterated their commitment to reduce the debt-to-GDP ratio over the medium term. Reforms to Research and Development (R&D) tax reliefs - For expenditure on or after 1 April 2023, the Research and Development Expenditure Credit (RDEC) rate will increase from 13% to 20%, the small and medium-sized enterprises (SME) additional deduction will decrease from 130% to 86%, and the SME credit rate will decrease from 14.5% to 10%. These rate changes will be legislated for in the Autumn Finance Bill 2022. This reform ensures that taxpayer support is as effective as possible, improves the competitiveness of the RDEC scheme, and is a step towards a simplified, single RDEC-like scheme for all. The government will consult on the design of a single scheme, and ahead of Budget work with industry to understand whether further support is necessary for R&D intensive SMEs, without significant change to the overall cost envelope for supporting R&D. As previously announced at Autumn Budget 2021, the R&D tax reliefs will be reformed by expanding qualifying expenditure to include data and cloud costs, refocusing support towards innovation in the UK, and targetting abuse and improving compliance. These changes will be legislated for in Spring Finance Bill 2023. In ensuring sustainable public spending, the government’s focus is on protecting vital public services, prioritising the needs of low-income households and levelling up the country. Driven by falling consumption, the OBR forecasts a recession starting in Q3 2022, with output falling 2.1% in total. [footnote 66] The economy then grows by 1.3%, 2.6%, 2.7% and 2.2% in 2024, 2025, 2026 and 2027. The OBR assesses that the EPG and other cost of living support will boost private demand over the winter, making the recession 1.1 percentage points shallower overall. figures reflect outturn in PESA, adjusted for provisional estimates of core spending. For devolved administrations, figures represent the Barnett consequentials of departmental COVID-19 funding less the element they carried forward from 2021-22 into 2022-23.

Capital DEL that does not form part of Public Sector Gross Investment in Capital DEL, including Financial Transactions in Capital DEL, intragovernmental leases, and Scottish Government capital. The government’s commitment to responsible management of the public finances is codified in new fiscal rules published in the Autumn Statement. The rules ensure that policy puts the public finances on a sustainable path, requiring that debt falls as a share of the economy over the forecast, while providing space for the economy to recover. GDP quarterly national accounts, UK:April to June 2022, Office for National Statistics, September 2022. ↩Sustainable public finances provide the stability and confidence that underpin the economy, supporting businesses and households across the country. By taking the responsible decisions needed to achieve fiscal sustainability, the government is providing the necessary conditions for economic growth. Contingent liabilities which can only be described annually, as they are ongoing risks without a fixed expiry date.

This measure was announced on 17 October and represents a change to the policy announced in Spring Statement 2022. Public sector pay is a significant proportion of government departments’ resource DEL budgets. It is important that pay awards deliver value for the taxpayer whilst also recognising the vital importance of public sector workers. For 2022-23, the government accepted the pay recommendations of the independent Pay Review Bodies for the NHS, teachers, police and the armed forces. This delivered the highest uplifts in nearly twenty years, with most awards targeted towards the lower paid. The government is seeking recommendations from Pay Review Bodies where applicable for pay awards for 2023-24. further measures to support greater local decision making and freedom for healthcare professionals to do their job. This will include commissioning an independent review by Patricia Hewitt into how best the new Integrated Care Boards can work with appropriate autonomy and accountability To ensure key public services continue to deliver, the government is prioritising further funding to support the healthcare system and schools. As a result of this targeted additional funding, total departmental spending (total DEL) will grow in real terms at 3.7% a year on average over this Spending Review period. DEL Spending Assumption from 2025-26 to 2027-28 - After this Spending Review period, departmental resource spending will grow at 1% a year in real terms. Departmental capital spending will continue at the same level in cash terms.

Includes increases to reserve funding to reflect revised estimates of pressures, offset by the removal of public sector compensation for the repealed Health and Social Care Levy that will be removed from departmental budgets from 2023-24 onwards

First Year Allowance for electric vehicle chargepoints: extend for a further two years until April 2025 Vehicle Excise Duty: equalise treatment of electric and internal combustion engine vehicles from April 2025 The government is committed to ensuring cutting-edge innovative firms have access to finance to invest and grow. As previously announced, the government is increasing the generosity and availability of the Seed Enterprise Investment Scheme and Company Share Option Plan. The government remains supportive of the Enterprise Investment Scheme and Venture Capital Trusts and sees the value of extending them in the future. The government will also continue to champion institutional investment into innovation so that UK savers can benefit from the growth of high potential businesses.In light of the deterioration in the economic outlook since the Spring, the government must now take further action to return the public finances to a sustainable path. Economic and Fiscal Outlook, Office for Budget Responsibility, March 2022 and Economic and Fiscal Outlook, Office for Budget Responsibility, November 2022. ↩ zero emission cars first registered between 1 April 2017 and 31 March 2025 will also pay the standard rate

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